Report to: General Committee                                                         Report Date: Mar 30, 2009

 

 

SUBJECT:                          2008 Investment Performance Review

 

PREPARED BY:               Mark Visser, Manager of Financial Strategy & Investments x.4260

 

 

 

RECOMMENDATION:

1)      THAT the report dated March 30, 2009 entitled “2008 Investment Performance Review” be received.

 

2)      And that Staff be authorized and directed to do all things necessary to give effect to this resolution.

 

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

Not Applicable

 

 

PURPOSE:

Pursuant to Regulation 74/97 Section 8, the Municipal Act requires the Treasurer to “prepare and provide to the Council, each year or more frequently as specified by Council, an investment report”.

 

The investment report shall contain,

 

(a) a statement about the performance of the portfolio of investments of the municipality during the period covered by the report;

 

(b) a description of the estimated portion of the total investments of a municipality that are invested in its own long-term and short-term securities to the total investment of the municipality and a description of the change, if any, in that estimated proportion since the previous year’s report;

 

(c) a statement by the Treasurer as to whether or not, in her opinion, all investments were made in accordance with the investment policies and goals adopted by the municipality;

 

 (d) a record of the date of each transaction in or disposal of its own securities, including a statement of the purchase and sale price of each security;

 

(e) such other information that the Council may require or that, in the opinion of the Treasurer, should be included.

 

 

 

 

 

BACKGROUND:

 

For the year ending December 31, 2008, the Town of Markham’s Income Earned on Investments was $8.33 million, compared to a budget of $7.08 million, representing a $1.25 million favourable variance. 

 

The 2008 budget assumes an average general fund portfolio balance of $168.67 million to be invested at an average rate of return of 4.20%. Both the actual average portfolio balance and the average rate of return were higher than budgeted levels.  The details of these two factors will be discussed below.  

Interest Rate

 

The Prime Rate was 6.00% at the beginning of 2008.  By April, it had dropped to 4.75% and remained at that level into the fourth quarter.  However, in Q4, the Bank of Canada began a series of rate cuts that left the Prime Rate at 3.25% at year end. 

 

In 2008, the Town’s investments had an average interest rate of 4.26%, 6 basis points higher than budget.  Furthermore, through active bond trading, the Town realized $244,000 of Capital Gains, thereby increasing the actual rate of return to 4.38%; 18 points higher than the 4.20% budgeted rate.  The difference in the rate of return accounts for a favourable variance of $351,000. 

Portfolio Balance

 

The budgeted average portfolio balance for 2008 was $168.67 million.  The actual average general fund portfolio balance (including cash balances) for 2008 was $189.93 million, resulting in $21.27 million more that was available for investment purposes.   The higher portfolio balance accounts for a favourable variance of $893,000

 

Portfolio Composition

 

All investments made in 2008 adhered to the Town of Markham investment policy.  At December 31, 2008, 34% of the Town’s portfolio was comprised of government issued securities.  62% of the portfolio was made up of instruments issued by Schedule A Banks, while the remaining 4% was made up of instruments issued by Schedule B Banks.  All of these levels are within the targets established in the Town’s Investment Policy.   (Exhibit 1).

 

The December 31, 2008 investment portfolio was comprised of the following instruments:  Bonds 44%, Banker’s Acceptances 26%, Treasury Bills 14%, Term Deposits 6%, Certificates of Deposit 4%, Banker’s Deposit Notes 4%, and Accrual Notes 2% (Exhibit 2).

 

At December 31, 2008, the Town’s portfolio balance for all funds was $334.8 million.  DCA investments represented $82.9 million of this amount.  The Town’s portfolio (all funds excluding DCA) of $251.9 million was broken down into the following investment terms (Exhibit 3):

                                                                                                 2008                 2007

Under 1 month                                                 14.1%              (11.3%)

1 month to 3 months                                                     29.4%              (24.0%)

3 months to 1 year                                                        16.8%              (36.2%)

Over 1 year                                                                  39.6%              (28.4%)

 

            Weighted average investment term                                1,214.6 days    (848.3 days)

Weighted average days to maturity                                849.6 days       (459.2 days)

 

Since December 31, 2007, the weighted average days to maturity has increased from 848 days to 1,214 days in an attempt to lock into more favourable long term interest rates that materialized during the year.

 

Money Market Performance

 

The Town of Markham uses the 3-month T-bill rates to gauge the performance of investments in the money market.  The average 3-month T-bill rate for 2008 was 2.37% (source: Bank of Canada).   Non-DCA Fund money market investments held by the Town of Markham in 2008 had an average return of 3.35%.  Therefore, the Town’s money market investments outperformed 3-month T-Bills by 98 basis points.  See Exhibit 4 for all Money Market securities held by the Town of Markham in 2008.

Bond Market Performance

 

2008 marks the seventh year of the Town’s bond strategy.  The 2008 highlights of the program are as follows:

 

  • 37 bonds were purchased with a face value of $105.7 million
  • 8 bonds were sold with a combined face value of $21.5 million
  • $244,000 of Capital Gains were realized

 

At December 31, 2008, the Town held 59 bonds (down from 71 in 2007) in the general fund portfolio.  The amortized value of these bonds at year-end was $145.5 million (an increase of $6.3 million over 2007).  The market value of these bonds at December 31, 2008 was $145.2 million.  This translates into $259,000 of unrealized losses.  This unrealized loss is simply a function of the market value at year end and not representative of the profitability to the Town (as explained below).

 

The strategy in 2008 was to take advantage of the large spread in yields between Canada and Bank bonds.  Due to the credit crisis, Canada bonds became extremely expensive resulting in low yields.  In comparison, bank instruments dropped in price because of investor fear and the yields went up.  The Town took advantage of the high underlying bank yields and obtained even higher yields by investing in longer-term instruments such as strip bonds (zero coupon) and fixed floaters (bonds with theoretical extension dates).

While these bonds have higher average yields, they are also far less liquid and therefore have lower market values.  However since these bonds were purchased as part of a buy-and-hold strategy, the unrealized loss is simply a function of the market value at year end and not representative of the profitability to the Town.  See Appendix 5 for all 2008 bond transactions. 

 

Reserve Funds and Other Interest

 

The following table outlines the interest on investments for all major Town funds and reserves.

 

 

Average Balance

Interest Earned

Average Rate

General Portfolio

$189,936,000

$8,328,000

4.38%

Reserve Funds/Varley Trust

$122,791,000

$4,187,000

3.41%

Powerstream Promissory Note

  $67,866,000

$3,787,000

5.58%

MEC/District Energy Loans

  $16,800,000

  $785,000

4.67%

Development Charges Reserve

  $83,154,000

$2,947,000

3.54%

 

 

OPTIONS/ DISCUSSION:

 

Outlook

 

In the first quarter of 2009, interest rates have reached historic lows after further cuts from the Bank of Canada.  At the beginning of February, 3-month BAs were approximately 1%, while 1-year Canada bonds were well under 1%.  It is expected that the Bank of Canada may yet again cut rates in early March.  In terms of value, Canada product is very expensive considering the amount of debt they continue to issue.  Provincial bonds represent much better value with spreads as high as 130 bps in the 10 year horizon.  Bank bonds represent an even better value especially in the 4+ year time frame where rates are over 4%. 

 

The Town is well positioned to weather the current environment.  At the beginning of February 2009, the Town’s bond holdings were approximately 160 million, with almost 75% of that amount locked in until at least 2011 at attractive rates.    Based on high level cash flow forecasts, the Town will not need to draw on any of these long term investments.

 

The strategy for 2009 is to continue to invest in longer term instruments as the yield pick up over money market investments is simply too great to ignore. 

 

The Investment Income budget for 2009 is $8.2 million (an increase of $1.12 million from 2008).  This is comprised of an estimated $200 million general portfolio balance invested at an average rate of 4.1%.

 

 

FINANCIAL CONSIDERATIONS AND TEMPLATE: (external link)

Not applicable

 

 

HUMAN RESOURCES CONSIDERATIONS

Not applicable

 

 

ALIGNMENT WITH STRATEGIC PRIORITIES:

Not Applicable

 

 

BUSINESS UNITS CONSULTED AND AFFECTED:

Not applicable

 

 

 

RECOMMENDED

                            BY:    ________________________          ________________________

                                      Barb Cribbett, Treasurer                     Andy Taylor, Commissioner

                                                                                                of Corporate Services

 

 

 

 

ATTACHMENTS:

Exhibit 1 – Investment Portfolio by Issuer

Exhibit 2 – Investment Portfolio by Instrument

Exhibit 3 – Investment Terms

Exhibit 4 – 2008 Money Market Investments

Exhibit 5 – 2008 Bond Market Investments

Exhibit 6 – 2008 DCA Fund Investments