Report to: General Committee                                                        Report Date: Nov 30, 2009

 

 

SUBJECT:                          2009 Third Quarter Investment Performance Review

PREPARED BY:               Mark Visser, Manager of Financial Strategy & Investments

 

 

 

RECOMMENDATION:

 

THAT the report dated November 30, 2009 entitled “2009 First Quarter Investment Performance Review” be received.

 

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

 

Not applicable

1. Purpose  2. Background  3. Discussion  4. Financial 

 

5. Others (Environmental, Accessibility, Engage 21st, Affected Units)  6. Attachment(s)

 

PURPOSE:

 

Pursuant to Regulation 74/97 Section 8, the Municipal Act requires the Treasurer to “prepare and provide to the Council, each year or more frequently as specified by Council, an investment report”.

 

The investment report shall contain,

 

(a) a statement about the performance of the portfolio of investments of the municipality during the period covered by the report;

 

(b) a description of the estimated portion of the total investments of a municipality that are invested in its own long-term and short-term securities to the total investment of the municipality and a description of the change, if any, in that estimated proportion since the previous year’s report;

 

(c) a statement by the Treasurer as to whether or not, in her opinion, all investments were made in accordance with the investment policies and goals adopted by the municipality;

 

 (d) a record of the date of each transaction in or disposal of its own securities, including a statement of the purchase and sale price of each security;

 

(e) such other information that the Council may require or that, in the opinion of the Treasurer, should be included.

 

BACKGROUND:

 

For the nine months ending September 30, 2009, the Town of Markham’s Income Earned on Investments was $7.164 million, compared to a budget of $6.446 million, representing a $718,000 favourable variance. 

 

The 2009 investment income budget is $8.2 million which assumes an average portfolio balance of $200 million and an average interest rate of 4.1%.  The monthly budget allocation has been modified to reflect the changing portfolio balances throughout the year.

 

Period

Avg. Balance

Avg. Rate

Budget

Q1

$170.00m

4.10%

$1,718,630

Q2

$230.00m

4.10%

$2,351,041

Q3

$230.00m

4.10%

$2,376,877

Q4

$169.67m

4.10%

$1,753,452

2009 Total

$200.00m

4.10%

$8,200,000

 

Therefore, for the first three quarters, the average portfolio balance was assumed to be $210.2 million.  The actual average portfolio balance and the average rate of return were above budgeted levels.  The details of these two factors will be discussed below.

Interest Rate

In the first quarter 0f 2009, the Bank of Canada cut interest rates by 100 basis points, with a final 25 basis point cut in early second quarter.  For the past 5 months, the prime rate has been 2.25%, with money market rates in the 0.25% range.  During the first three quarters of 2009, the Town’s investments had an average interest rate of 3.92%; 18 basis points lower than budget.  However, through active bond trading, the Town has realized $935,000 of Capital Gains, thereby increasing the actual rate of return to 4.51%; 41 basis points over the budgeted rate.  The difference in the rate of return accounts for a favourable variance of $657,000. 

Portfolio Balance

The budgeted average portfolio balance for the first three quarters of 2009 is $210.2 million.  The actual average general fund portfolio balance (including cash balances) for the first three quarters of 2009 was $212.2 million.  The higher portfolio balance accounts for a favourable variance of $61,000. 

 

Portfolio Composition

All investments made in the first three quarters of 2009 adhered to the Town of Markham investment policy.  At September 30, 2009, 58% of the Town’s portfolio (exclusive of bank balances) was comprised of government issued securities.  The remaining 42% of the portfolio was made up of instruments issued by Schedule 1 Banks.   All of these levels are within the targets established in the Town’s Investment Policy (Exhibit 1).

 

The September 30, 2009 investment portfolio was comprised of the following instruments:  Bonds and similar instruments 67%, T-Bills/ Provincial Promissory Notes 21%, Certificates of Deposit/Term Deposits 5%, and GICs 7% (Exhibit 2).

 

At September 30, 2009, the Town’s portfolio balance for all funds was $374.4 million.  DCA investments represented $75.3 million of this amount.  The Town’s portfolio (all funds excluding DCA) of $299.1 million was broken down into the following investment terms (Exhibit 3):

 

Under 1 month                                                 20.6%

1 month to 3 months                                                     11.7%

3 months to 1 year                                                          8.7%

Over 1 year                                                                  59.0%

 

            Weighted average investment term                                1,554.9 days

Weighted average days to maturity                                1,294.1 days

 

Money Market Performance

The Town of Markham uses the 3-month T-bill rates to gauge the performance of investments in the money market.  The average 3-month T-bill rate for the first three quarters of 2009 was 0.41% (source: Bank of Canada).   Non-DC/MEC Fund money market investments (including cash balances) held by the Town of Markham during the first three quarters of 2009 had an average return of 1.07%.  Therefore, the Town’s money market investments outperformed 3-month T-Bills by 66 basis points.  See Exhibit 4 for all Money Market securities held by the Town of Markham in the first three quarters of 2009.

Bond Market Performance

2009 marks the seventh year of the bond trading strategy.  The 2009 YTD highlights of the program are as follows:

 

  • 38  bonds were purchased with a face value of $117.4 million
  • 9  bonds were sold with a combined face value of $19.0 million
  • $935,000 of Capital Gains were realized

 

With the onset of falling short term interest rates, the strategy in early 2009 was to invest in longer term instruments as the yield curve was relatively steep.   The Town purchased $82 million of bonds and similar long-term instruments in the first five months of 2009.  During the third quarter, the spread between bank and government bonds narrowed from approx 150 bps (in early 2009) to approx 40 bps.  The Town took advantage of this by selling bank bonds (mostly purchased in 2008) and reaping some substantial Capital Gains.   The funds were mainly reinvested in longer-term government bonds.

 

Outlook

Money market rates are currently hovering around 0.20%-0.35% and are expected to remain at these levels for another year.  There is very little reason to invest in the money market until this situation changes.  The strategy is to continue to focus on bond market investments during periods of market weakness.  There still obviously needs to be a focus on maintaining liquidity, therefore any short term money that is available to invest will be kept in the bank account (where it earns 0.50%). 

 

Overall, the Town and its investment portfolio are in very good shape to weather the poor investing conditions as approximately 90% of the general portfolio is invested in long term instruments.  For 2010, the budget is being increased by $1.0 million to $9.2 million.

 

 

OPTIONS/ DISCUSSION:

Not Applicable

 

FINANCIAL CONSIDERATIONS AND TEMPLATE: (external link)

Not Applicable

 

ENVIRONMENTAL CONSIDERATIONS:

Not Applicable

 

ACCESSIBILITY CONSIDERATIONS:

Not Applicable

 

ENGAGE 21ST CONSIDERATIONS:

Not Applicable

 

BUSINESS UNITS CONSULTED AND AFFECTED:

Not Applicable

 

 

RECOMMENDED

                            BY:    ________________________          ________________________

                                      Barb Cribbett, Treasurer                     Andy Taylor, Commissioner,

                                                                                                Corporate Services

 

 

 

 

ATTACHMENTS:

Exhibit 1 – Investment Portfolio by Issuer

Exhibit 2 – Investment Portfolio by Instrument

Exhibit 3 – Investment Terms

Exhibit 4 – 2009 Q3 Money Market Investments

Exhibit 5 – 2009 Q3 Bond Market Investments

Exhibit 6 – 2009 Q3 DCA Fund Investments